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Handicapper Blog

Posted by Ken Warkentin on Wednesday, November 26, 2014 11:51 AM

RACE 1

6-Expensive Toy – Has been very effective at this price recently in NY, nice win with pace at both ends two starts back, then almost went all the way in pace controlling style

 

1-Nassau County – Not strong on the win column, but the price drop, speedy form, the rail, plus Brett Miller all make him a major contender in an intriguing opener

 

2-Hurtin Albertan – On the fringe fourth in his last three at Yonkers, yet maybe the stretch out on the mile track, inside draw & addition of the Bionic Man could put him across in a wide-open field

 

RACE 2

6-Somestarsomewhere – Exits the Breeders Crown, which was, despite two key scratches, a salty affair, this one fits right into his wheelhouse for Team Burke

 

7-Sweet Rock – NJ Classic upsetter exploited a real easy nonwinners of 3 last week & ramped his confidence up sky high

 

5-The Lunch Pail – Did some nice work in the Stallion Series, obviously needed his first start in two months, yet not sure he matches up to the top two

 

RACE 3

4-Caviart Luca – Bounced back with a big first over effort & held third behind the bomb Gold Rocks & Hall Bro, Noel Daley tuned gelding showed some talent in the Tattersalls

 

1B-Journeyman – Followed up a speedy win in the slop at Pocono with a dominant score in his debut for the Burke Brigade, moves outside, but meant to be a good one & heads a wicked entry

 

2-Caviart Chase – Reeled off a well-meant career best 1:52 opening weekend, then clearly second best chased Journeyman, lands the poll trying to somehow turn the tables

 

RACE 4

7-Royal Kee Wee N – Switched to Pocono Downs & promptly went two-for-two, New Zealand-bred gelding has major upside & hasn’t got much to beat in here

 

1-White Bliss – Rare white colt was just okay with a perfect trip in his Big M debut, chance to show more in his third career start from the pole

 

10-Ace Of Sharks – Set a solid pace & gave it up to the pocket sitting Art Degree, switches to Orange Crush & has the speed to overcome post ten in a laid back field

 

RACE 5

8-Rockeyed Optimist – Has displayed some talent on occasion & capable of an eye-catching move, paced a :54.1 back last week & makes his second start in three months

 

5-Art Degree – Pocketed his way to a career best 1:53.4 & has been pretty consistent, figures to be forwardly placed in a field lacking serious speed

 

9-Bettor Believe It – Gelding added Lasix recently & raced well again with a third behind runaway Sweet Rock, tackles post nine once more, but has the speed to seriously contend

 

RACE 6

8-OK Commander – Has gone two-for-two here on Lasix, got it all with a down-the-road effort last week & worthy of the step up from B-2 to B-1

 

4-Sparky Mark – Classy veteran has been sharp just below the Open level at Harrah’s Philadelphia, draws well off a no-chance mile there & owns a win here this season

 

7-Shooter’s Dream – Invitational presence in Indiana grinded out a decisive score at The Meadows & debuts here for trainer David M. Smith, may present some value in an evenly matched field

 

RACE 7

4-Clear Vision – Has simply been too far back in both starts here, yet still paced home with sharp vigor (:53.3 last week), check out his monstrous effort in the Hoosier Derby & game win in the Dayton Derby

 

3-Sweet Lou – Pressured through a :53.1 middle half & only lost in the last step, division leader rewarded with a better post & still the one to knock off as he rounds back into peak form

 

5-Thinking Out Loud – Clearly benefited from the contested pace & responded to some bridle changes to pull the Breeders Crown upset, he’s obviously on his game now & another stern pace is almost guaranteed

 

RACE 8

2-Iam Bonasera – Classy gelding closed into a :54 back half from never-never land, logically needed the start, drops to a straight, yet tight B-2 & moves inside

 

5-Second Wind N – Forced to endure a wide trip from post ten & landed on the fringe fourth again, Bionic Man sticks & we could see a little more late snap this time

 

7-Schoolkids – Steps up fresh off a pace-controlling score last week at even money, expect another Gingras blast off with a classy Burke trainee on the verge of $1 million

 

RACE 9

7-Mighty Young Joe – Excellent season for this 11YO & great handling by Stacy Chiodo, fresh on the comeback trail his latest near miss in PA spells form revival & he loves the Big M

 

3-American General – Gelding has come alive with back-to-back lifetime marks in contrasting styles at Harrah’s Philadelphia, rates major contender status soley based on those miles

 

1-Rockin The House – Torched in a fast pace at Pocono Downs last time, rated & gave it up to the pocket sitter here before that, this Burke trainee has a chance to stalk from the rail

 

RACE 10

5-Sebastian K – Leading contender for Trotter of the Year poised to pass $3 million, freshened after three straight losses, we all know what he’s capable of even if not at his very best, has a big chance to prove his superiority in a great field

 

1-Creatine – A new horse after throat surgery this season, big effort from post eight to upset in the Allerage Farm, set a track record in the American National, lacked room in the Breeders Crown comeback, figures to be primed from the rail

 

3-Bee A Magician – The 2013 Horse of the Year salvaged her 4YO season with the magic of a masterful Sears drive & Lasix, making it back-to-back Breeders Crowns, well situated to push these boys & Maven to the limit

 

RACE 11

4-Wake Up Peter – The pick to click last week when aggressive tactics paid off for Brett Miller, has clearly cycled forward, 12-time winner this season loves the Big M & do it either way

 

5-Speed Again – Very steady Burke trainee rated, then tried to scoot away & only lost by a length in the Pocono Open, very dangerous controlling the pace

 

3-Handsome Henry K – Stepped up admirably off a confident win at Dover Downs with a strong third at 32-1, while pacing into a brisk :54.3 back half & draws better

 

RACE 12

1-Piece Of The Rock – Note the narrow loss two starts back & recent win at Harrah’s Philadelphia when he controlled the pace, the rail facilitates a similar strategy

 

6-Agood Time To Rock – Raging Burke trainee tried to go all the way again & nailed by a nose despite perfect rating by Gingras, likely in the pace-setting roll again

 

8-Prince Sharka – Forced to follow a well-rated standout in Schoolkids last week, moves outside, but remains a live contender

 

RACE 13

5-Mambo Italiano – Paced home strong for a piece from a tougher post, now drops from C-1 to a blank C-2 and has midpack options

 

4-Spartacus PV – Just missed with a perfect trip two starts back at Dover Downs, then no chance from post eight, owns a win here & barn has a win and a second from two starters this meet

 

7-Stallone Blue Chip – Just 1 for 19 this season, but had plenty of late pace from an impossible spot in his second start off the bench & drops to a rock bottom C-2

 

 

 

 



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